If evacuations to the San Antonio area begin, from anywhere along the TX Coast, I will post what information I can gather from reliable, verifiable sources. If you have information you would like me to post, especially regarding animals, please leave a comment and I will get it posted. I'll update more frequently as Ike approaches TX.
Right now, it looks like Ike could make landfall on Friday, anywhere from about Galveston to just south of the TX/MEX border. Before anyone starts blaming the NHC for poor forecasting, let me tell you that it is strictly a Mother Nature issue. A lot depends on the timing, and possibly strength, of a couple of different troughs.
Unfortunately, it does appear that Ike will be able to re-strengthen and possibly make landfall as a category 2 or 3 storm.
Here are the latest images. Click on them for a larger view in a new window. I've posted the 8 am and 11 am NHC Forecast tracks, including zoomed versions of a portion of each, so you can compare them and see how the long-range forecast can change quite a bit in just a short time. Forecasts are very hard to make beyond 36 hours and that should always be taken into consideration.
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